Dew point temperature affects ascospore release of allergenic genus Leptosphaeria

Artykuł - publikacja recenzowana


Tytuł
Dew point temperature affects ascospore release of allergenic genus Leptosphaeria
Odpowiedzialność
Magdalena Sadyś, Joanna Kaczmarek, Agnieszka Grinn-Gofron, Victoria Rodinkova, Alex Prikhodko, Elena Bilous, Agnieszka Strzelczak, Robert J. Herbert, Malgorzata Jedryczka
Twórcy
Punktacja publikacji
Osoba Dysc. Pc k m P U Pu Opis
0000-0003-4440-291X 6.4 30 1 9 30,00 1,0000 30,0000 Art.
Brak ORCID Brak deklaracji dyscypliny
Gł. język publikacji
Angielski (English)
Data publikacji
2018
Objętość
12 (stron).
Szacowana objętość
0,75 (arkuszy wydawniczych)
Identyfikator DOI
10.1007/s00484-018-1500-z
Adres URL
https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00484-018-1500-z#citeas
Uwaga ogólna
First Online: 27 January 2018.
Cechy publikacji
  • Oryginalny artykuł naukowy
Słowa kluczowe
Czasopismo
International Journal of Biometeorology
( ISSN 0020-7128 eISSN 1432-1254 )
Kraj wydania: Holandia (Netherlands)
Zeszyt: tom 62 zeszyt 6
Strony: 979-990
Pobierz opis jako:
BibTeX, RIS
Data zgłoszenia do bazy Publi
2018-06-22
PBN
Wyświetl
WorkId
18788

Abstrakt

en

The genus Leptosphaeria contains numerous fungi that cause the symptoms of asthma and also parasitize wild and crop plants. In search of a robust and universal forecast model, the ascospore concentration in air was measured and weather data recorded from 1 March to 31 October between 2006 and 2012. The experiment was conducted in three European countries of the temperate climate, i.e., Ukraine, Poland, and the UK. Out of over 150 forecast models produced using artificial neural networks (ANNs) and multivariate regression trees (MRTs), we selected the best model for each site, as well as for joint two-site combinations. The performance of all computed models was tested against records from 1 year which had not been used for model construction. The statistical analysis of the fungal spore data was supported by a comprehensive study of both climate and land cover within a 30-km radius from the air sampler location. High-performance forecasting models were obtained for individual sites, showing that the local micro-climate plays a decisive role in biology of the fungi. Based on the previous epidemiological studies, we hypothesized that dew point temperature (DPT) would be a critical factor in the models. The impact of DPT was confirmed only by one of the final best neural models, but the MRT analyses, similarly to the Spearman’s rank test, indicated the importance of DPT in all but one of the studied cases and in half of them ranked it as a fundamental factor. This work applies artificial neural modeling to predict the Leptosphaeria airborne spore concentration in urban areas for the first time.

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